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Detection of Earthquake Precursors


New Complex Method in Order to Predict Earthquakes

Tech Area / Field

  • ENV-SEM/Seismic Monitoring/Environment

3 Approved without Funding

Registration date

Leading Institute
Tbilisi State University, Georgia, Tbilisi


  • MINDECO, Japan, Osaki\nInstitut des Sciences de la Terre, de l'Eau et de l'Espace de Montpellier, France, Montpellier

Project summary

The goals of the Project are to reveal new and more reliable precursors of earthquakes and to seek fuel resources, including natural hydrogen, on the basis of new methods. The topicality of these problems is apparent. It is well known that in the 21st century mankind will have to solve two, most complicated, problems:
1. Energy resources – among them the discovery of natural primary hydrogen as a nonalternative source of energy;
2. Ecological problems – including earthquakes.
To solve these problems only traditional methods are still used, which can not bring necessary practical results.

During project accomplishmentnew scientific results will be obtained connected with the processes taking place in the depth of the earth.

Analysis of Rn (radon) and other components of depth gases, both for their elemental contents and isotope ratios, provide extremely broad information about processes taking place in the depths of earth. At the same time submicron metal aerosols, which emanate with them from depth, exert a considerable influence on atmospheric modification.

Elemental analysis of such aerosols with very high sensitivity ~ 10-7% and the simultaneous the measurement of about 70 elements, including all metals, will be essential from the point of view weather forecasting and, at the same time, it provides an enormous volume of information on ores without drilling strings.

The main point of the work is to join all existing methods for separate components, such as Rn, He, H2, CH4 etc. into one set, to study each of them in the same sample. This means that the results obtained for each of them might be compared with a considerable degree of reliability. Also, by using different methods for the same volume of gas the scientific value of each method will be established, which, in future, will present the opportunity to make apparent the more reliable earthquake precursors.

The efficiency of methods such as signification of precursors and the search for sources of energy is determined by how correctly we understand the course of the processes that occur in the depth since the day of the formation of the Earth.

Only correct conceptions about these processes will give us the opportunity to use existing technical means effectively and to achieve considerable ecological effects.

Results, previously obtained on the pilot set, apparently show the prospects of these methods. Further financing is necessary to improve methods and to conduct systematical works according to all parameters.


The International Science and Technology Center (ISTC) is an intergovernmental organization connecting scientists from Kazakhstan, Armenia, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Georgia with their peers and research organizations in the EU, Japan, Republic of Korea, Norway and the United States.


ISTC facilitates international science projects and assists the global scientific and business community to source and engage with CIS and Georgian institutes that develop or possess an excellence of scientific know-how.

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